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markets and endogenous government borrowing and show that governments choose higher levels of public debt when financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551327
In this paper, the authors advance the theory and computation of Eaton-Gersovitz style models of sovereign debt by incorporating long-term debt and proving the existence of an equilibrium price function with the property that the interest rate on debt is increasing in the amount borrowed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009251191
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We present a novel and tractable model of long-term sovereign debt. We make two sets of contributions. First, on the substantive side, using Argentina as a test case we show that unlike one-period debt models, our model of long-term sovereign debt is capable of accounting for the average spread,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387504
Two often-divergent U.S. GDP estimates are available, a widely-used expenditure-side version GDPE, and a much less widely-used income-side version GDI . The authors propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. They then put the theory to work, producing a superior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320691
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We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties -- particularly as regards serial correlation -- differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010652361
This paper studies the effects of asymmetries in re-election probabilities across parties on public policy and its … subsequent propagation to the economy. The struggle between opposing groups — that disagree on the composition of public … overspending on public goods arise, as resources are more valuable when in power. Because the party enjoying an electoral advantage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009146816