Azariadis, Costas; Wen, 文一; Kaas, Leo - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2015
In U.S. data 1981–2012, unsecured firm credit moves procyclically and tends to lead GDP, while secured firm credit is acyclical; similarly, shocks to unsecured firm credit explain a far larger fraction of output fluctuations than shocks to secured credit. In this paper we develop a tractable...