Showing 1 - 4 of 4
In their already-famous 2010 article "Growth-in-a-Time-of-Debt" (AER-100(2)-pp.-573-78), Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff show that average post-WW2 economic growth is dramatically declining in advanced economies, once the debt-to-GDP ratio is above a 90% threshold. We explore the relevance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550439
This article delivers the first comprehensive analysis of the new database, 'Mémoire des hommes', which gathers more than 1 Million French soldiers officially recognized as dead for France during WW1. Crossing this source with the 1911 census, we evaluate the potential numbers of recruits by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821186
This article extends earlier efforts at redating the US industrial cycles for the prewar period (1890-1938) using the methodologies proposed by Bry and Boschan (1971) and Hamilton (1989) and based on the monthly industrial production index constructed by Miron and Romer (1990). The alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011026172
This article extends earlier efforts at redating the US business cycles for the 1790–1928 period using the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) constructed by Johnson and Williamson (2007). We compare the alternative chronology with those of the NBER and Davis (2006) as well as Romer (1994) for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855839