Rumler, Fabio; Scharler, Johann; Moser, Gabriel - Oesterreichische Nationalbank - 2004
In this paper we apply factor models proposed by Stock and Watson [18] and VAR and ARIMA models to generate 12-month out of sample forecasts of Austrian HICP inflation and its subindices processed food, unprocessed food, energy, industrial goods and services price inflation. A sequential...