Credit and market risks are crucial for financial institutions. In this paper we present the model used by the Central Bank of Chile to conduct the stress tests for commercial banks in Chile. Market risk uses a balance-sheet approach that is consistent with the credit risk. For exchange rate...

We evaluate the impact of persistence in volatility over the probability of default in Merton’s credit risk model. Our main conclusion is that a high degree of persistence, as it is observed in equity returns, implies a lower probability of default for those cases where firms possess a high...

In this paper we discuss various indicators of default for consumer loans in Chile. In particular, we propose an indicator based on write-offs, which can be interpreted as a probability of default. The proposed indicator replicates the level and the dynamic of the default frequency reported in a...

In this paper we measure the error of estimating the term structure by the YTM/Duration approximation. The figures are based on the fact that model of term structure proposed by Nelson and Siegel (1987) is valid, and bonds are bullets. For the case of Chile we found that the approximation...

In this paper we analyze if currency hedging reduces risk. Based on historical data (1997- 2011) and using coherent measures of risk, we found that in equity portfolios it does not imply a reduction on risk. In contrast, for fixed-income portfolios the optimal hedging is 100%. Last finding is...

The discussion about the Interest Rate Ceiling (TMC) has generated several proposals that involve changing the current way of calculating this interest rate, which applies to consumer loans of amounts smaller than 200 UF and maturities of less than 90 days. In this paper we analyze the effect of...

In this paper we compute the impact of the yield spread on output growth, based on a standard DSGE model. As it is supported by empirical literature, we found that yield spread can be used only to forecast output growth for short-term horizons (less than 2 years). Moreover, the size of that...

Nelson and Siegel (1987) propose a parametric model for the yield curve. Since it is easy to estimate, it became popular among practitioners and Central Bank’s analysts. Diebold and Li (2006) provide a dynamic version of the Nelson-Siegel (DNS) model, showing that it performs well in outof-...

Based on a new dataset obtained from survey data, we study household debt default behavior in Chile. Previous research in this area suggests financial and personal variables that can help estimate individual and group probabilities of default. We study mortgage and consumer default separately,...

The Contingent Claim Analysis (CCA) is a useful tool for the risk analysis of listed companies. In this paper, we present the application of CCA to the department-store firms listed on the Chilean stock market. We obtain two main results: (1) the simplified version of distance to default...