Afonso, António; Claeys, Peter; Sousa, Ricardo M. - ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department … - 2009
We estimate changes in fiscal policy regimes in Portugal with a Markov Switching regression of fiscal policy rules for the period 1978-2007, using a new dataset of fiscal quarterly series. We find evidence of a deficit bias, while repeated reversals of taxes making the budget procyclical....