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In this paper we document that realized variation measures constructed from highfrequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907404
Modelling covariance structures is known to suffer from the curse of dimensionality. In order to avoid this problem for forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures that accommodates asymmetry and long memory....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907411
The purpose of the paper is to discuss ten things potential users should know about the limits of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) representation for estimating and forecasting time-varying conditional correlations. The reasons given for caution about the use of DCC include the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907413
three standard volatility models, namely GARCH, EGARCH and GJR. We use these alternative daily DJIA market sentiment scores …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907418
This note discusses some aspects of the paper by Hu and Tsay (2014), “Principal Volatility Component Analysis”. The key issues are considered, and are also related to existing conditional covariance and correlation models. Some caveats are given about multivariate models of time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907420
papers cover the following topics: currency hedging strategies using dynamic multivariate GARCH, risk management of risk … under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907434
One of the most popular univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models is the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907437
estimation of volatility under micro-market noise and random sampling, asymmetric large-scale (I)GARCH with hetero-tails, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907438
Of the two most widely estimated univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models, the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907440
, including GARCH, EGARCH, and GJR models, are used to investigate the relationship between crude oil price and six global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907445