Showing 1 - 10 of 25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002808264
this paper, we propose to forecast exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR (BVAR), using a panel of 33 exchange rates vis … produces systematically better forecasts than a random walk for most of the countries, and at any forecast horizon, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003765975
Recent advances in testing for the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) focus on the time series properties of real exchange rates in panel frameworks. One weakness of such tests, however, is that they fail to inform the researcher as to which cross-section units are stationary. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003740322
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003491138
This paper adresses the various methodological issues surrounding vector autoregressions, simultaneous equations, and chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that money growth is a superior indicator of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003877115
This paper aims at identifying the labour share (wage-productivity gap) as a major factor in the evolution of inequality and employment. To this end, we use annual data for the US, UK and Sweden over the past forty years and estimate country-specific systems of labour demand and Gini coefficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009157624
The debate in Australia on the (constant-output) elasticity of labour demand with respect to wages has wrongly sidelined the role of capital stock as a determinant of employment (Webster, 2003). As far back as 1991, Pissarides had argued that the influence of capital stock on the performance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003799513
series and estimation of time varying parameter processes by well-known rolling regression estimation techniques. We … point for further research on numerous open problems including establishing estimation results of time-varying parameters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405250
Following Giraitis, Kapetanios, and Yates (2014b), this paper uses kernel methods to estimate a seven variable time-varying (TV) vector autoregressive (VAR) model on the data set constructed by Smets and Wouters (2007). We apply an indirect inference method to map from this TV VAR to time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405253
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002153120