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How is volatility in commodity markets linked to oil price shocks?

Ahmadi, Maryam; Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri; Manera, Matteo - 2015

This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438674

On the economic determinants of oil production : theoretical analysis and empirical evidence for small exporting countries

Cologni, Alessandro; Manera, Matteo - 2011

In this paper, decisions regarding production in oil exporting countries are studied by means of theoretical analysis and empirical investigation. Under the assumptions of exogenous oil prices and world oil demand, we are able to describe the relationship between oil production levels and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009231652

Statistical and economic evaluation of time series models for forecasting arrivals at call centers

Bastianin, Andrea; Galeotti, Marzio; Manera, Matteo - 2017

Call centers' managers are interested in obtaining accurate forecasts of call arrivals because these are a key input in staffing and scheduling decisions. Therefore their ability to achieve an optimal balance between service quality and operating costs ultimately hinges on forecast accuracy. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599302

Futures price volatility in commodities markets : the role of short term vs long term speculation

Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella; Vignati, Ilaria - 2013

This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt …-2010 analyzed at weekly frequency. Using GARCH models we find that speculation significantly affects volatility of returns: short … term speculation has a positive and significant impact on volatility, while long term speculation generally has a negative …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756298

Returns in commodities futures markets and financial speculation : a multivariate GARCH approach

Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella; Vignati, Ilaria - 2012

This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535531

Understanding dynamic conditional correlations between commodities futures markets

Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri; Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella - 2016

We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451631

The role of outliers and oil price shocks on volatility of metal prices

Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri; Manera, Matteo - 2015

This study investigates the price volatility of metals, using the GARCH and GJR models. First we examine the … persistence of volatility and the leverage effect across metal markets taking into account the presence of outliers, and second we … estimate the effects of oil price shocks on the price volatility of metals, allowing for the asymmetric responses. We use daily …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327443

Interpreting the oil risk premium : do oil price shocks matter?

Valenti, Daniele; Manera, Matteo; Sbuelz, Alessandro - 2018

This paper provides an analysis of the link between the global market for crude oil and oil futures risk premium at the aggregate level. It off ers empirical evidence on whether the compensation for risk required by the speculators depends on the type of the structural shock of interest....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794500