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In this paper we estimate inflation expectations for several Latin American countries using an affine model that takes … as factors the observed inflation and the parameters generated from zero-coupon yield curves of nominal bonds. By … implementing this approach, we avoid the use of inflation-linked securities, which are scarce in many of these markets, and obtain …
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We review some of the (theoretical) economic implications of David Schmeidler's models of decision under uncertainty (Choquet expected utility and maxmin expected utility) in competitive market settings. We start with the portfolio inertia result of Dow and Werlang (1992), show how it does or...
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Over a quarter of the world's population lives in economies that have undertaken transitions from central planning to market economies. These transitions entail far-reaching and complex changes in social, economic and political institutions and have had widely divergent outcomes. Important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014455426
inflation expectations and risk premia. This entails jointly pricing and decomposing nominal and real UK yields. We find … evidence that medium- and long-term inflation expectations are contained within narrower bounds since the early 1990s …, suggesting monetary policy credibility improved after the introduction of inflation targeting. …
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Unique longitudinal probabilistic expectations data from the Berea Panel Study, which cover both college and early post-college periods, are used to examine young adults’ beliefs about their future incomes. We introduce a new measure of the ex post accuracy of beliefs, and two new approaches...
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