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Why have white, less educated voters left the Democratic Party over the past few decades? Scholars have proposed ethnocentrism, social issues and deindustrialization as potential answers. We highlight the role played by the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In event-study...
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This paper estimates the effects of NAFTA on labor and wages in Mexico using a local labor-markets approach. While NAFTA offered greater export opportunities to Mexican firms that may raise employment, it also opened the door to increased import competition that may dampen employment gains. This...
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In this paper, we analyze the propagation of recessions across countries. We construct a model with multiple qualitative state variables that evolve in a VAR setting. The VAR structure allows us to include country-level variables to determine whether policy also propagates across countries. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015545
Using sector-level data on bilateral greenfield investment for 198 source and destination countries over 2003-2018 in a structural gravity model, we examine the likely effect of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) on African investment. Conditional general equilibrium estimates from...
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