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The Allais critique of expected utility theory (EUT) has led to the development of theories of choice under risk that … labora-tory experiments designed to test independence, our experiment systematically tests the entire set of axioms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583551
The results of an experiment extending Ellsberg's setup demonstrate that attitudes towards ambiguity and compound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457763
We experimentally explore decision-making under uncertainty using a framework that decomposes uncertainty into three distinct layers: (1) physical uncertainty, entailing inherent randomness within a given probability model, (2) model uncertainty, entailing subjective uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862952
During recent decades, many new models have emerged in pure and applied economic theory according between Epstein (2010 … to an ambiguity averse preference for a randomized act. Building on this insight, we implement an experiment whose design …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756091
We review some of the (theoretical) economic implications of David Schmeidler's models of decision under uncertainty (Choquet expected utility and maxmin expected utility) in competitive market settings. We start with the portfolio inertia result of Dow and Werlang (1992), show how it does or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121980
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233248
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015046735
This paper studies the optimal extraction of a non-renewable resource under uncertainty using a discrete-time approach in the spirit of the literature on precautionary savings. We find that boundedness of the utility function, in particular the assumption about U(0), gives very different results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528821
We develop a nonparametric procedure, called the lattice method, for testing the consistency of contingent consumption data with a broad class of models of choice under risk and under uncertainty. Our method allows for risk loving and elation seeking behavior and can be used to calculate, via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671892
We address the problem of choosing a portfolio of policies under "deep uncertainty." We introduce the idea of belief dominance as a way to derive a set of non-dominated portfolios and robust individual alternatives. Our approach departs from the tradition of providing a single recommended...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504367