Juvenal, Luciana; Petrella, Ivan - 2011
(FAVAR) model. We analyze the role of speculation in comparison to supply and demand forces as drivers of oil prices. The … main results are as follows: (i) While global demand shocks account for the largest share of oil price fluctuations …, speculative demand shocks are the second most important driver. (ii) The comovement between oil prices and the price of other …