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High-frequency financial and economic activity indicators are usually time aggregated before forecasts of low-frequency macroeconomic events, such as recessions, are computed. We propose a mixed-frequency modelling alternative that delivers high-frequency probability forecasts (including their...
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Economic policies are generally formulated on the basis of data available in real time, which might subsequently be revised. Implicitly, the possibility of data revisions creates an element of uncertainty around the very same data driving policy decisions. Given that such uncertainty could be...
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, Germany's exports are less vulnerable to price increases, while exports from France and Italy respond strongly to price …What explains Germany's superb export performance? Is Germany's export behaviour very distinct compared to other …-wage countries reduces costs allowing exporters to compete on price. Second, we find that Germany is the leading quality exporter in …
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implemented in Great Britain, Italy and France. Energy suppliers have to fund a given quantity of energy efficiency measures, or …
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