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Before the financial and economic crisis, monetary policy unification and interest rate convergence resulted in the divergence of euroarea countries' financial cycles. This divergence is deeply rooted in the financial integration spurred by currency union and strongly correlated with intra-euro...
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Financial supervision focuses on the aggregate (macroprudential) in addition to the individual (microprudential). But an agreed framework for measuring and addressing financial imbalances is lacking. We propose a holistic approach for the financial system as a whole, beyond banking. Building on...
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Using dynamic factor models and state-space techniques we quantify financial cycles for twenty European countries over the period 1960Q1–2015Q4 capturing imbalances across credit, housing, bond and equity markets. The paper documents the existence of slow-moving and persistent financial cycles...
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Covid-19 crisis (2020-2021) was significantly more countercyclical than before - in particular in the Eurozone. We do not … performance over 2020-2021 was more in line with the past than for discretionary fiscal policy. Overall, fiscal policy in non-Eurozone … advanced countries is more countercyclical than in the Eurozone. However, the cyclicality varies markedly across countries. Our …
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Despite signs of recovery from the global financial crisis, the GDP growth rate for the Indian economy is likely to be between 5.8 to 6.1 per cent in 2009-10, below the 6.7 per cent recorded in fiscal 2008-09. While there has been an improvement in Indian industry, particularly the manufacturing...
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