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inflation expectations and risk premia. This entails jointly pricing and decomposing nominal and real UK yields. We find … evidence that medium- and long-term inflation expectations are contained within narrower bounds since the early 1990s …, suggesting monetary policy credibility improved after the introduction of inflation targeting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339919
In this paper we estimate inflation expectations for several Latin American countries using an affine model that takes … as factors the observed inflation and the parameters generated from zero-coupon yield curves of nominal bonds. By … implementing this approach, we avoid the use of inflation-linked securities, which are scarce in many of these markets, and obtain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883446
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003741402
We review some of the (theoretical) economic implications of David Schmeidler's models of decision under uncertainty (Choquet expected utility and maxmin expected utility) in competitive market settings. We start with the portfolio inertia result of Dow and Werlang (1992), show how it does or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121980
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233248
Over a quarter of the world's population lives in economies that have undertaken transitions from central planning to market economies. These transitions entail far-reaching and complex changes in social, economic and political institutions and have had widely divergent outcomes. Important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014455426
We exploit a hidden Markov model where inflation is determined by government deficits financed through money creation … and/or by destabilizing expectations dynamics (expectations can potentially divorce inflation from fundamentals). The … baseline model, proposed by Sargent et al. (2009), is used to analyze the interaction between fiscal deficits, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883865
This paper focuses on the formation of inflation expectations of consumers in 9 Central, Eastern and Southeastern … difference between realized inflation and reported inflation expectations is considerably higher in CESEE countries than in 7 … literature on large Western economies: older, female and lower income respondents have relatively higher inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338791
Unique longitudinal probabilistic expectations data from the Berea Panel Study, which cover both college and early post-college periods, are used to examine young adults’ beliefs about their future incomes. We introduce a new measure of the ex post accuracy of beliefs, and two new approaches...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427620
The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we evaluate the responses to the questions on inflation expectations in … the World Economic Survey for sixteen inflation targeting countries. Second, we compare inflation expectation forecasts … country. Then, using Self Organizing Maps, we cluster the inflation expectations, setting June 2014 as a benchmark. At this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011913189