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estimating trivariate hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models with stochastic volatility for the three-month Treasury … bill rate, the slope of the Treasury yield curve and the corporate bond-yield spread. As a methodological contribution, we … the corporate bond-yield spread is subject to time variation in its parameters. We also find that an increase in the …
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This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
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We derive a model-free option-based formula to estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER) within an asset pricing setting. We estimate CFER for the U.S. optionable stocks. We document that CFER is sizable, it predicts stock returns and it subsumes the effect of...
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