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We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...
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The paper investigates the macroeconomic and financial effects of oil prices shocks in the euro area since its creation in 1999, with a special focus on the recent slump. The analysis is carried out episode by episode, within a time-varying parameter framework, consistent with the view that "not...
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an IGARCH process. By means of a new dynamic conditional correlation model (SP-DCC), we finally document the presence of … time-varying conditional correlations relating temperature anomalies across various zones and SOI. The correlation pattern …
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peers, China and Brazil, to learn from their respective paths and experiences in similar regard. The paper concludes by …
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