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Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2015
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard … deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
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Common and country specific economic uncertainty
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2015
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
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The changing transmission of uncertainty shocks in the US : an empirical analysis
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2014
This paper investigates if the impact of uncertainty shocks on the US economy has changed over time. To this end, we develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time-varying impact on a range of variables. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
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Stochastic volatility driven by large shocks
Kapetanios, George (contributor);  … - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003370484
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Measuring the origins of macroeconomic uncertainty
Mumtaz, Haroon - 2018
This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty that can be attributed to specific structural shocks. This enables researchers to investigate the "origin" of a change in overall macroeconomic uncertainty. To demonstrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895010
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Business cycle persistence in developing countries : how successful is a DSGE model with a vertical production chain and sticky prices?
Male, Rachel - 2010
It is well documented that business cycles of developed countries are characterised by persistent output fluctuations, and this has been the subject of much theoretical interest. However, the case for developing countries has been somewhat neglected in the literature. This paper addresses this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665125
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The regime-switching volatility of euro area business cycles
Lhuissier, Stéphane - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414173
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Understanding financial fluctuations and their relation to macroeconomic stability
Guarata, Nora; Pagliacci, Carolina - 2017
This paper examines how financial fluctuations and macroeconomic stability interact in the case of Venezuela, acknowledging that financial conditions deteriorating the macroeconomic environment can arise with both good and bad macroeconomic performance. An empirical methodology is provided that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673263
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A review of macroeconomic models for the WEFE nexus assessment
Castelli, Chiara; Castellini, Marta; Ciola, Emanuele; … - 2022
The Water, Energy, Food and Ecosystems (WEFE) nexus refers to the system of complex and highly non-linear interconnections between these four elements. It now represents the basic framework to assess and design policies characterized by an holistic environmental end economical perspective. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463756
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Volatility co-movement and the great moderation : an empirical analysis
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2016
volatility of US and UK GDP growth appears to have become increasingly correlated in the recent past. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554403