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uncertainty is proxied by the (unobserved) volatility of the structural shocks, and a regime change occurs whenever credit …
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We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
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Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard … deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The …
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We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
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volatility and Student-t disturbances outperforms restricted alternatives that feature either attributes. The VAR model with …
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