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This paper shows that there is substantial comovement between prices of primary commodities such as oil, aluminum, maize, or copper and real exchange rates between developed economies such as Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom against the US dollar. The production of commodities is then...
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theory for persistence have some modest support: in the data, the stickier is the price of a good the more persistent is its … real exchange rate, but the theory predicts much more variation in persistence than is in the data. The predictions of the … theory for volatiity fare less well: in the data, the stickier is the price of a good the smaller is its conditional variance …
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The latest round of international negotiations in Copenhagen led to a set of commitments on emission reductions which are unlikely to stabilise global warming below or around 2°C. As a consequence, in the absence of additional ambitious policy measures, adaptation will be needed to address...
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Using a comprehensive high-frequency foreign exchange dataset, we present evidence of time-of-day effects in foreign exchange returns through a significant tendency for currencies to depreciate during local trading hours. We confirm this pattern across a range of currencies and time zones. We...
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