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We investigate the role of networks of military alliances in preventing or encouraging wars between groups of countries. A country is vulnerable to attack if there is some fully-allied group of countries that can defeat that country and its (remaining) allies based on a function of their...
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This paper analyses the statistical distribution of war size. We find strong support for a Pareto-type distribution … always less than 1, indicating that the distribution is heavy-tailed; this means that the war average loss is controlled by …
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The paper investigates determinants of investments in state capacity and institutional change in contemporary Ukraine. After formulating a simple sequential two-stage model of investments in state capacity, the paper estimates autoregressive distributed lag and vector autoregressive models to...
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