Showing 1 - 10 of 206
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304494
The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we evaluate the responses to the questions on inflation expectations in the World Economic Survey for sixteen inflation targeting countries. Second, we compare inflation expectation forecasts across countries by using a two-step approach that selects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011913189
know the "name" but not the "type" of the other players. Learning occurs via matching and using Bayes' rule. We introduce … the notion of a stable and consistent outcome, and show how the interaction between blocking and learning behavior shapes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009702237
As addressing climate change becomes a high priority it seems likely that there will be a surge in interest in deploying nuclear power. Other fuel bases are too dirty (coal), too expensive (oil, natural gas) or too speculative (solar, wind) to completely supply the energy needs of the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714380
simultaneously. We propose a decentralized, completely uncoupled learning process in such environments that leads to stable and … sell-side). This simple and intuitive learning process implements core allocations even though agents have no knowledge of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756276
The use of coarse categories is prevalent in various situations and has been linked to biased economic outcomes, ranging from discrimination against minorities to empirical anomalies in financial markets. In this paper we study economic rationales for categorizing coarsely. We think of the way...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010353550
We investigate how the selection process of a leader affects team performance with respect to social learning. We use a … models of social learning to investigate the micro-level mechanisms. We find that overconfidence and conservatism contribute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794457
I examine a setting, where an information sender conducts research into a payoff-relevant state variable, and releases information to agents, who consider joining a coalition. The agents' actions can cause harm by contributing to a public bad. The sender, who has commitment power, by designing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011660390
Unique longitudinal probabilistic expectations data from the Berea Panel Study, which cover both college and early post-college periods, are used to examine young adults’ beliefs about their future incomes. We introduce a new measure of the ex post accuracy of beliefs, and two new approaches...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427620
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578561