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Carry trades, order flow and the forward bias puzzle

Breedon, Francis J.; Rime, Dagfinn; Vitale, Paolo - 2015

We investigate the relation between foreign exchange (FX) order flow and the forward bias. We outline a decomposition of the forward bias according to which a negative correlation between interest rate differentials and order flow creates a time-varying risk premium consistent with that bias....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396784

Financial openness of China and India : implications for capital account liberalisation

Ma, Guonan; McCauley, Robert N. - 2014

We gauge the de-facto capital account openness of the Chinese and Indian economies by testing the law of one price on the basis of onshore and offshore price gaps for three key financial instruments. Generally, the three measures show both economies becoming more financially open over time. Over...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402814

Does the macroeconomy predict UK asset returns in a nonlinear fashion? : comprehensive out-of-sample evidence

Guidolin, Massimo; Hyde, Stuart; McMillan, David G.; … - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008668600

Tipping points and loss aversion in international environmental agreements

İriş, Doruk; Tavoni, Alessandro - 2016

We study the impact of loss-aversion and the threat of catastrophic damages, which we jointly call threshold concerns …, on international environmental agreements. We aim to understand whether a threshold for dangerous climate change is as an …), or low damages (gain domain). Under symmetry, that is when countries display identical degrees of threshold concern, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457579

Do temperature thresholds threaten American farmland?

Massetti, Emanuele; Mendelsohn, Robert O. - 2017

Estimated Ricardian models have been criticized because they rely on mean temperatures and do not explicitly include extreme temperatures. This paper uses a cross sectional approach to compare a standard quadratic Ricardian model of mean temperature with a fully flexible daily temperature bin...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714958

Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Volatility: a Non-Linear Story

Jeanneret, Alexandre - Institut für Schweizerisches Bankwesen <Zürich> - 2007

This paper sheds light on the influence of exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment (FDI), both at the theoretical and the empirical level. The novelty of the empirical analysis, which is based on a panel of 27 OECD countries over the period 1982-2002, is to provide evidence of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858054

Safe Haven Currencies

Ranaldo, Angelo; Söderlind, Paul - Institut für Schweizerisches Bankwesen <Zürich> - 2007

We study high-frequency exchange rate movements over the sample 19932006. We document that the (Swiss) franc, euro, Japanese yen and the pound tend to appreciate against the U.S. dollar when (a) S&P has negative returns; (b) U.S. bond prices increase; and (c) when currency markets become more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858064

Getting PPP right : identifying mean-reverting real exchange rates in panels

Chortareas, Georgios E. (contributor); … - 2008

Recent advances in testing for the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) focus on the time series properties of real exchange rates in panel frameworks. One weakness of such tests, however, is that they fail to inform the researcher as to which cross-section units are stationary. As a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003740322

Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR

Carriero, Andrea (contributor); … - 2008

Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate driftless random walk models, especially at short horizons. Multivariate time series models suffer from the same problem. In this paper, we propose to forecast exchange rates with a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003765975

Is the Chinese currency substantially misaligned to warrant further appreciation?

Qin, Duo; He, Xinhua - 2010

This study provides quarterly time-series estimates of the misalignment in the REER of the Renminbi (RMB). The estimation is based on a commonly used economic approach, but with a wider and more up-to-date coverage of data and a more extensive use of econometric modelling techniques. Our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933930

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