Showing 1 - 10 of 217
We study high-frequency exchange rate movements over the sample 1993–2006. We document that the (Swiss) franc, euro, Japanese yen and the pound tend to appreciate against the U.S. dollar when (a) S&P has negative returns; (b) U.S. bond prices increase; and (c) when currency markets become more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858064
We investigate the relation between foreign exchange (FX) order flow and the forward bias. We outline a decomposition of the forward bias according to which a negative correlation between interest rate differentials and order flow creates a time-varying risk premium consistent with that bias....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396784
We gauge the de-facto capital account openness of the Chinese and Indian economies by testing the law of one price on the basis of onshore and offshore price gaps for three key financial instruments. Generally, the three measures show both economies becoming more financially open over time. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402814
This paper reviews the steps that China has taken towards financial reform with a particular focus on capital account liberalisation and internationalisation of the use of the renminbi. After a slowdown in reform momentum during the global financial crisis, there is a clear push towards reform,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384045
This paper presents a new hierarchical methodology for estimating multi factor dynamic asset pricing models. The approach is loosely based on the sequential approach of Fama and MacBeth (1973). However, the hierarchical method uses very flexible bandwidth selection methods in kernel weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960113
Entities like centralized cryptocurrency exchanges fall under the business category of virtual asset service providers (VASPs). As any other enterprise, they can become insolvent. VASPs enable the exchange, custody, and transfer of cryptoassets organized in wallets across distributed ledger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390418
This paper investigates the relationship between energy prices and the real effective exchange rate of commodity-exporting countries. We consider two sets of countries: 10 energy-exporting and 23 non-fuel commodity-exporting countries over the period 1980-2011. Estimating a panel cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225994
outperforms the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting of twelve major currency pairs over the short and long horizon forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302033
strong evidence of them in the data. We produce forecasts for all the 33 exchange rates in the panel, and show that our model … produces systematically better forecasts than a random walk for most of the countries, and at any forecast horizon, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003765975
This study provides quarterly time-series estimates of the misalignment in the REER of the Renminbi (RMB). The estimation is based on a commonly used economic approach, but with a wider and more up-to-date coverage of data and a more extensive use of econometric modelling techniques. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933930