Showing 1 - 10 of 403
that stochastic technology growth hardly affects the optimal bundle of mitigation and adaptation whereas uncertainty about … that including uncertainty into the model tends to favour (long-lasting) mitigation with respect to (instantaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534628
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013503805
Uncertainty faced by individual firms appears to be heterogeneous. In this paper, I construct new empirical measures of … firm-level uncertainty using data from the I/B/E/S and Compustat. These new measures reveal persistent differences in the … degree of uncertainty facing individual firms not reflected by existing measures. Consistent with existing measures, I find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401309
variables into contributions from country-specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries. We find that the common …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
A growing empirical literature has considered the impact of uncertainty using SVAR models that include proxies for … uncertainty shocks as endogenous variables. In this paper we consider the possible impact of measurement error in the uncertainty … uncertainty shock proxy as an instrument to identify the underlying shock does not suffer from this bias. Applying this proxy SVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784657
This paper estimates the impact on the US economy of four types of uncertainty about (i) government spending, (ii) tax … changes, (iii) public debt sustainability and (iv) monetary policy. Following a one standard deviation shock, uncertainty …, consumption and investment after two years around 0.5%, 0.3% and 1.5% respectively. Uncertainty on the other economic policies has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009790714
Can a temporary negative shock generate long-lasting effects on economic activities? To show causal evidence, we utilize data from Japanese multinational corporations (MNCs) and explore the economic impact of the unexpected escalation of an island dispute between China and Japan in 2012. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554377
This paper investigates if the impact of uncertainty shocks on the US economy has changed over time. To this end, we … develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its … time-varying impact on a range of variables. We find that the impact of uncertainty shocks on real activity and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
Financial markets are central to the transmission of uncertainty shocks. This paper documents a new aspect of the … interaction between the two by showing that uncertainty shocks have radically different macroeconomic implications depending on … uncertainty is proxied by the (unobserved) volatility of the structural shocks, and a regime change occurs whenever credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472852