Showing 1 - 10 of 295
This paper assesses that participation of countries in IMF programs significantly diminishes their vulnerability to external shocks. Currently, one of the primary purposes of the IMF is to ensure global stability. As such, the Fund has the responsibility of advising member countries on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447050
This paper introduces a VAR with stochastic volatility in mean where the residuals of the volatility equations and the … observation equations are allowed to be correlated. This implies that exogeneity of shocks to volatility is not assumed apriori …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812167
This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty that can be attributed to specific structural shocks. This enables researchers to investigate the "origin" of a change in overall macroeconomic uncertainty. To demonstrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895010
In this paper we extend the Bayesian Proxy VAR to incorporate time variation in the parameters. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is provided to approximate the posterior distributions of the model's parameters. Using the proposed algorithm, we estimate the time-varying effects of taxation shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933414
In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243290
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384610
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438674
The presence of long memory in Realized Volatility (RV) is a widespread stylized fact. The origins of long memory in RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964976
This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427
volatilities, we first discuss the evolution of the volatility of EU ETS allowances' returns from 2008 to 2021. Second, we study … the degree of co-movement and interdependence between the EU ETS returns' volatility and those of 37 large companies in … industries subject to the System; to this end, we employWavelet Coherence and Volatility Spillovers Analyses. Despite spotting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361266