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Economic policies are generally formulated on the basis of data available in real time, which might subsequently be revised. Implicitly, the possibility of data revisions creates an element of uncertainty around the very same data driving policy decisions. Given that such uncertainty could be...
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European debt crisis. When investigating whether various expenditure components of GDP may cause different unemployment … unemployment that is in line with this empirical regularity and the findings for the other emerging markets and regional peers. We … improve forecasting of unemployment. …
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In this paper, we analyse Okun's law - a relation between the change in the unemployment rate and GDP growth - using … fruitful. In terms of dynamic effects, a shock to GDP growth has robustly negative effects on the change in the unemployment …
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regime during a deceleration in economic activity and with headline and core inflation remaining well below the FOMC's 2 … percent inflation target. Moreover, both short- and long-term inflation expectations were drifting lower. These developments …
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