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This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock price indexes. Forecasts produced by each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011598042
This paper proposes a methodology for constructing a Financial Conditions Indicator (FCI) based on factor analysis and the approaches of Brave and Butters (2011) and Aramonte et al. (2013). A selected set of variables is used and their information content aggregated into a single index that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715419
This paper examines how financial fluctuations and macroeconomic stability interact in the case of Venezuela, acknowledging that financial conditions deteriorating the macroeconomic environment can arise with both good and bad macroeconomic performance. An empirical methodology is provided that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673263
Experimental data exhibit considerable individual heterogeneity. We review the econometric methods employed to characterize that heterogeneity. We pay particular attention to the trade-off between collecting and allowing for observable characteristics, such as the familiar demographics, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142360
It is intuitive that decision-makers might have attitudes towards uncertainty just as they might have attitudes towards risk. However, it is only recently that this intuitive notion has been formalized and axiomatically characterized. We estimate the extent of uncertainty aversion in a manner...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142361
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Measurement forms the substance of econometrics. This chapter outlines the history of econometrics from a measurement … perspective - how have measurement errors been dealt with and how, from a methodological standpoint, did econometrics evolve so as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003407670
This paper examines the history of econometrics through a particular case study - modelling the tradeoff between … different concerns and the different problems that they encountered has fed back into the development of econometrics. The study … reveals that much of the interaction between econometrics and economics involved modellers taking certain tradeoffs between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933933