characteristics (control). On average, households assign lower probabilities to shocks that negatively affect personal finances if …

selection is either based on competence, on self-confidence, or made at random. Teams with random leaders do not underperform … models of social learning to investigate the micro-level mechanisms. We find that overconfidence and conservatism contribute …

Overconfidence leads to risky behavior, including when people are around guns. Does overconfidence also shape attitudes … use of guns and more likely to declare their willingness to use guns. These results indicate that overconfidence is a … significant behavioral trait correlated with attitudes toward weapons handling, ownership, carrying, and use. Overall, over-confidence …