Showing 1 - 10 of 549
policies are conducted by a discretionary and profligate government, I find that revenue ceilings vastly outperform debt …, effective revenue ceilings induce an increase in deficit, debt and inflation. Under many scenarios, including recurrent adverse … reduce spending rather than raising revenue to lower debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137093
We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
Friedman rule that eliminates the liquidity premium on scarce treasury debt. We derive conditions for determinacy under both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782908
After decades using monetary aggregates as the main instrument of monetary policy and having different varieties of crawling peg exchange rate regimes, Colombia adopted a full-fledged inflation-targeting (IT) regime in 1999, with inflation as the nominal anchor, a floating exchange rate, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285649
Estimation of conventional Taylor rules for Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Peru shows that central banks increase their repo rate in response to increases in the output gap and, except in Peru, to deviations of inflation expectations from target. Using a Markov-Switching methodology, it is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010246127
In this paper we introduce the general setting of a multivariate time series autoregressive model with stochastic time-varying coefficients and time-varying conditional variance of the error process. This allows modeling VAR dynamics for non-stationary times series and estimation of time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405250
Following Giraitis, Kapetanios, and Yates (2014b), this paper uses kernel methods to estimate a seven variable time-varying (TV) vector autoregressive (VAR) model on the data set constructed by Smets and Wouters (2007). We apply an indirect inference method to map from this TV VAR to time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405253
How does monetary policy impact upon macroprudential regulation? This paper models monetary policy's transmission to bank risk taking, and its interaction with a regulator's optimization problem. The regulator uses its macroprudential tool, a leverage ratio, to maintain financial stability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011797689
discount the future? When the fiscal authority sets debt as its main policy instrument it achieves fiscal dominance, rendering … interest rate it renders fiscal impatience (its debt bias) irrelevant, but still faces its expenditure bias. I find that the … expenditure bias is about an order of magnitude more severe than the debt bias and has a major impact on welfare through higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308453
deficit and debt ceilings. For a variety of aggregate shocks considered, the best policy is to impose a minimum primary … transitions is a key component of good institutional design. Debt ceilings are benign, but always dominated by deficit constraints …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585839