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This paper studies inflation persistence with time-varying coefficient autoregressions for twelve central European countries,in comparison with the United States and the euro area. Inflation persistence tends to be higher in times of high inflation. Since the oil price shocks, inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768497
-t distributed innovations as well as time-varying volatility. Meaningful restrictions are imposed to the model parameters, so as to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382183
It is well documented that business cycles of developed countries are characterised by persistent output fluctuations, and this has been the subject of much theoretical interest. However, the case for developing countries has been somewhat neglected in the literature. This paper addresses this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665125
volatility in ifln ation raises unemployment at low-frequency. Increased volatility in infl ation makes nominal wages more … guarantee the equilibrium in the labor market. The positive long-run co-movement between unemployment and infl ation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429726
estimation methods. Specifically, we employ VAR models with drifting parameters and stochastic volatility which are used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233967
We assess the bivariate relation between money growth and inflation in the euro area and the United States using hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models. Model selection based on marginal likelihoods suggests that the relation is statistically unstable across time in both regions. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252440
volatility to estimate the changing spillover of global oil shocks into the Maltese economy during the period that goes from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380679
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438674
The presence of long memory in Realized Volatility (RV) is a widespread stylized fact. The origins of long memory in RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964976
This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427