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In this paper, we estimate trend inflation in Sweden using an unobserved components stochastic volatility model. Using … data from 1995Q4 to 2021Q4 and Bayesian estimation methods, we find that trend inflation has been well-anchored during the … period - although in general at a level below the inflation target - and it does not appear to have been affected much by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818429
This paper identifies shocks to the Federal Reserve's inflation target as VAR innovations that make the largest … contribution to future movements in long-horizon inflation expectations. The effectiveness of this scheme is documented via Monte … inflation, GDP growth and long-term interest rates. Target shocks are estimated to be a vital factor behind the increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671941
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firms explains the negative relationship between aggregate trade credit growth and in inflation in the data. A tractable New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011913236
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. inflation anchoring properties. This layout is then confronted with the policy framework in use in the euro area prior to the … dis-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations experienced in the euro area since 2013, however, suggests that the … policy framework could benefit from a rebalancing towards a formulation with stronger anchoring properties. The inflation aim …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012802090
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regime during a deceleration in economic activity and with headline and core inflation remaining well below the FOMC's 2 … percent inflation target. Moreover, both short- and long-term inflation expectations were drifting lower. These developments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216728
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