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The security of energy supply is a key geopolitical factor in the relationship between the European Union and the southern neighborhood countries of the Middle East and North Africa region. We study the response of eight Mediterranean economies to exogenous oil supply shocks. We focus on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438640
Increasing oil security represents one of the most important policy actions, especially within IEA countries. Short and long term mechanisms could help such goal. On the short term side, revision of IEA emergency response oil stock system has been discussed. The attention is mainly focused on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606712
The weekly release of the U.S. inventory level by the DOE-EIA is known as the market mover in the U.S. oil futures … market and to be a significant piece of information for all world oil markets in which the WTI is a price benchmark. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591602
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This paper provides an analysis of the link between the global market for crude oil and oil futures risk premium at the … the risk they are taking on? This work is based on a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model of the crude oil market … that the historical decline of the risk premium can be modelled as a part of endogenous eff ect of the oil market driven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794500
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural … market shock. This new shock is designed to capture an unanticipated change in the benefit of holding crude oil inventories … that is driven by financial incentives. We find evidence that financial market shocks have played an important role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
existence of these inventories be explained? In the presence of sufficiently stochastic prices, oil extracting firms have an … - firms hold stockpiles intending to cash in on periods of particularly high prices. I argue that empirical evidence supports … the former but not the latter explanation. -- Petroleum Economics ; Stochastic Dynamic Optimization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419703
ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also considered, capturing macroeconomic, financial and oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189497
This paper is the first to assess operational and probabilistic externalities of oil extraction and transportation to Europe on the basis of a comprehensive evaluation of realistic future oil demand-supply scenarios, of the relative relevance of import routes, of the local specificities in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008809694