We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard … deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The …

power for inflation or, put differently, whether money growth Granger causes inflation. We use a historical dataset … - consisting of annual Swedish data on money growth and inflation ranging from 1620 to 2021 - and employ state-of-the-art Bayesian … likelihoods - provides strong evidence in favour of money growth Granger causing inflation. This strong evidence is, however, not …

This paper explores the effect of inflation supply and demand shocks on government debt. It identifies the shocks using … regressions and local projections suggest that supply shocks lead to persistent increases in government debt, while demand shocks … both supply and demand shocks by more than three times. Specifically, supply shocks increase debt through higher borrowing …

regime during a deceleration in economic activity and with headline and core inflation remaining well below the FOMC's 2 … percent inflation target. Moreover, both short- and long-term inflation expectations were drifting lower. These developments …