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Can a temporary negative shock generate long-lasting effects on economic activities? To show causal evidence, we utilize data from Japanese multinational corporations (MNCs) and explore the economic impact of the unexpected escalation of an island dispute between China and Japan in 2012. Our...
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revised. Implicitly, the possibility of data revisions creates an element of uncertainty around the very same data driving … policy decisions. Given that such uncertainty could be mitigated if data revisions were predictable, this paper sets out to … paper show that the real-time consideration of these forecasts has the potential to improve the precision with which past …
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multinational firms' sales forecasts and exploring an unexpected escalation of a territorial dispute between China and Japan in 2012 …
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In this paper we investigate crude oil and products price dynamics. We present a comparison among ten price series of crude oils and fourteen price series of petroleum products, considering four distinct market areas (Mediterranean, North Western Europe, Latin America and North America) over the...
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