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Inflation, monetary policy and stock market conditions

Bordo, Michael D. (contributor); Dueker, Michael (contributor) - 2008

"This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the second half of the 20th century. We estimate a latent variable VAR to examine how macroeconomic and policy shocks affect the condition of the stock market. Further, we examine the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003741414

How does stock market volatility react to oil shocks?

Bastianin, Andrea; Manera, Matteo - 2014

We study the impact of oil price shocks on US stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … structural VAR models, one for each oil price shock. Identification is achieved by assuming that the price of crude oil reacts to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476423

The impacts of oil price shocks on stock market volatility : evidence form the G7 countries

Bastianin, Andrea; Conti, Francesca; Manera, Matteo - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011765239

Fiscal policy shocks and stock prices in the United States

Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2017

1980. Over the period 1955-1980 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices …. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal multiplier, the response of stock prices to the same shock became negative …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011627039

Changing impact of shocks : a time-varying proxy SVAR approach

Mumtaz, Haroon; Petrova, Katerina - 2018

In this paper we extend the Bayesian Proxy VAR to incorporate time variation in the parameters. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is provided to approximate the posterior distributions of the model's parameters. Using the proposed algorithm, we estimate the time-varying effects of taxation shocks in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933414

Non-linear effects of oil shocks on stock prices

Mumtaz, Haroon; Pirzada, Ahmed; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2018

find that an adverse oil supply shock has a negative effect on stock prices when oil inflation is low. In contrast, this … rates encourage firms to get highly leveraged. A negative oil shock in this scenario leads to a substantial increase in … shock, ameliorating the impact on the stock market. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895018