The survey is concerned with the issue of information transmission from experts to non-experts. Two main approaches to … the use of experts can be traced. According to the game-theoretic approach expertise is a case of asymmetric information … the expert’s performance. According to the Bayesian decision-theoretic approach the expert is the agent who announces his …

electricity. We present the results from an expert elicitation exercise involving sixteen leading experts coming from different EU …

policies from twelve leading European experts from both academia and industry. In the second part of the analysis, the …

experts’ estimates of the costs of future energy technologies. We harmonize data from 19 elicitations, involving 215 experts … that, on average, when experts respond to elicitations in person, they ascribe lower confidence (larger uncertainty) to …-and geography-US or EU-are also significant; academics and US experts have lower confidence than other types of experts. Higher R …

65 experts, of the future costs of photovoltaics (PV) and evaluate the impact of expert and study characteristics on the … power, expert affiliation type and nationality do not affect central estimates. Some specifications suggest that EU experts … than do US experts. Higher R&D investment is associated with lower future costs. Rather than increasing confidence, high R …