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Results of general equilibrium models are sensitive to model parameterization and specification. The role of macroeconomic closures and the effect of trade elasticities are documented in the literature, but there is no systematic analysis of the implications of different labor supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232857
This article documents a strong connection between unemployment and mental disorders using data from the Spanish … results suggest that an increase of the unemployment rate by 10 percent due to collapse of the sector raised mental disorders … faced very low chances of re-entering employment. We show that this led to long unemployment spells, hopelessness and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405305
the Beveridge curve in Austria. We find empirical evidence to confirm that the increase in the unemployment rate in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962116
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001868121
causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main … determinants of the unemployment rise in the 1970s and early 1980s were wage-push factors, the two oil price shocks and the … increase in interest rates, and (ii) the acceleration in capital accumulation was the crucial driving force of unemployment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003799513
Wages are only mildly cyclical, implying that shocks to labour demand have a larger short-run impact on unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446155
This paper builds up a simple New Keynesian model and revisits the relationship between unemployment and in ation in … beyond the tradeoff between the first moments of unemployment and infl ation provided by the short-run Phillips curve. Higher … volatility in ifln ation raises unemployment at low-frequency. Increased volatility in infl ation makes nominal wages more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429726
I extend the Bayesian Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive model (FAVAR) to incorporate an identification scheme based on an exogenous variable approach. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is provided to estimate the posterior distributions of the models parameters. I estimate the effects of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798851
the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and … ; US Unemployment ; Time Series Models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008702857
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013367790