larger earnings fluctuations than employees and that they frequently transition into unemployment. Given the self …-employed are not eligible to unemployment insurance, I analyze the provision of benefits targeted at these risks using a calibrated …. This exercise suggests that extending the current US unemployment insurance scheme to the self-employed comes with a clear …

We study optimal unemployment insurance (UI) over the business cycle using a heterogeneous agent job search model with …

Beveridge (full-employment-consistent) rate of unemployment (BECRU), derived from the unemployment-vacancies relationship. The … BECRU is the level of unemployment that minimises the non-productive use of labour. Based on a novel dataset for the period …. The European unemployment problem emerged in the 1980s and 1990s, as Beveridgean full employment gaps increased. In the …

the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and … ; US Unemployment ; Time Series Models …

Wages are only mildly cyclical, implying that shocks to labour demand have a larger short-run impact on unemployment …