This paper studies the joint business cycle dynamics of inflation, money growth, nominal and real interest rates and the …

responds to inflation and output volatility, especially during economic crises. This framework offers a promising alternative …

This paper studies inflation persistence with time-varying coefficient autoregressions for twelve central European … countries,in comparison with the United States and the euro area. Inflation persistence tends to be higher in times of high … inflation. Since the oil price shocks, inflation persistence has declined both in the US and euro-area. In most central and …

HICP inflation seems to be largely driven by the goods component while ERPT to services prices is largely insignificant …

The purpose of the paper is to introduce the framework for decomposing the forecast of headline inflation, obtained by … core inflation. The model for inflation decomposition is a small structural model, set up in state space framework. Kalman … filter procedure is applied to filter the future paths of CPI components, given projected headline inflation obtained by …

This paper conducts a structural analysis of inflation persistence in the United Kingdom between 1965-2009. I allow for … and stochastic shock volatility. The first policy regime responds passively to movements in inflation, adjusting the … other regime responds actively to inflation and places less weight on exchange rate movements. This regime is present for …

power for inflation or, put differently, whether money growth Granger causes inflation. We use a historical dataset … - consisting of annual Swedish data on money growth and inflation ranging from 1620 to 2021 - and employ state-of-the-art Bayesian … likelihoods - provides strong evidence in favour of money growth Granger causing inflation. This strong evidence is, however, not …