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This paper conducts a structural analysis of inflation persistence in the United Kingdom between 1965-2009. I allow for … and stochastic shock volatility. The first policy regime responds passively to movements in inflation, adjusting the … other regime responds actively to inflation and places less weight on exchange rate movements. This regime is present for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121979
This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372798
We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard … deviations from the policy rule and the results are re-enforced by the presence of non-zero trend inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
authorities tried to deliver a low and stable inflation from 1975 onwards, however, the severe adverse supply shocks in the 70s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405253
Monetary policy moves the yield curve. How much is due to expected interest rates vs. term premia? And does it matter for macroeconomic outcomes? Using an affine term structure model, we shed new light on these questions. Estimation is subject to restrictions addressing an estimation bias in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316011
have been evaluated. Our findings show that monetary tightening, causes a fall in output, inflation rate, employment, bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549755
, effective revenue ceilings induce an increase in deficit, debt and inflation. Under many scenarios, including recurrent adverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137093
responds to inflation and output volatility, especially during economic crises. This framework offers a promising alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014538995
Central banks have usually employed short-term rates as the main instrument of monetary policy. In the last decades, however, forward guidance has also become a central tool for monetary policy. In an innovative way this paper combines two sources of extraneous information - high frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295693
Sign-restricted Structural Vector Autoregressions (SVARs) are increasingly common. However, they usually result in a set of structural parameters that have very different implications in terms of impulse responses, elasticities, historical decomposition and forecast error variance decomposition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037315