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the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and … ; US Unemployment ; Time Series Models …
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This paper investigates how the job search outcomes of displaced migrants are affected by the labor market outcomes of past co-workers of the same nationality. For this exercise I use matched employer-employee micro data on the universe of private-sector employees in Italy between 1975 and 2001....
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Wages are only mildly cyclical, implying that shocks to labour demand have a larger short-run impact on unemployment …
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