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The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both the analysis and development of climate policy. This study presents the results of the first comprehensive study of uncertainty in climate change using multiple integrated assessment models. The study looks...
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uncertainty into Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs). Uncertainty is transformed into a risk-premium, damage-correction, region …. This risk premium quantifies what society would be willing to pay to insure against the uncertainty of the damages, and it … highly sensitive to the coefficient of relative risk aversion. Once the climate change damage function incorporates the risk …
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We propose a novel framework for the economic assessment of climate-change policy. Our main point of departure from existing work is the adoption of a "satisficing", as opposed to optimizing, modeling approach. Along these lines, we place primary emphasis on the extent to which different...
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By means of a very simple example, this note illustrates the appeal of using Bayesian rather than classical methods to produce inference on hidden states in models of Markovian regime switching. -- Bayesian analysis ; switching regression ; regime changes ; nonlinear filtering
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