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risk measures for portfolios with infrequently traded securities have not been explored in the literature. We propose a … methodology to calculate market risk measures based on the Kalman filter which can be used on incomplete datasets. We implement … applied to other markets with thinly traded securities. Our methodology provides reliable market risk measures in portfolios …
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We confirm that standard time-series models for US output growth, inflation, interest rates and stock market returns feature non-Gaussian error structure. We build a 4-variable VAR model where the orthogonolised shocks have a Student t-distribution with a time-varying variance. We find that in...
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This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty that can be attributed to specific structural shocks. This enables researchers to investigate the "origin" of a change in overall macroeconomic uncertainty. To demonstrate the...
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Concurrent with the rapid development of the market for catastrophe (cat) bonds, a steady decline in their risk premia … has been observed. Whether the latter trend is consistent with the evolution of natural disasters risk is an open question …. Indeed, a large share of outstanding risk capital in the cat bonds market appears to be exposed to some climate change …
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A growing empirical literature has considered the impact of uncertainty using SVAR models that include proxies for uncertainty shocks as endogenous variables. In this paper we consider the possible impact of measurement error in the uncertainty shock proxies on the estimated impulse responses...
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