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1980. Over the period 1955-1980 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices …. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal multiplier, the response of stock prices to the same shock became negative …
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This paper uses state-level data to estimate the effect of federal defense spending shocks on state real activity. We find moderately strong evidence that for the average state the fiscal multiplier is larger during recessions. However, there is substantial heterogeneity across the...
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