Because the use of p-values in statistical inference often involves the rejection of a hypothesis on the basis of a number that itself assumes the hypothesis to be true, many in the scientific community argue that inference should instead be based on the hypothesis' actual probability...

In recent years local projections have become a more and more popular methodology for the estimation of impulse responses. Besides being relatively easy to implement, the main strength of this approach relative to the traditional VAR one is that there is no need to impose any specific assumption...

This paper partially identifies population treatment effects in observational data under sample selection, without the benefit of random treatment assignment. Bounds are provided for both average and quantile population treatment effects, combining assumptions for the selected and the...