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VAR models with fat tails and dynamic asymmetry
Kiss, Tamás; Mazur, Stepan; Nguyen, Hoang; Österholm, Pär - 2024
In this paper, we extend the standard Gaussian stochastic-volatility Bayesian VAR by employing the generalized hyperbolic skew Student's t distribution for the innovations. Allowing the skewness parameter to vary over time, our specification permits flexible modelling of innovations in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015084442
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Forecasting with Bayesian global vector autoregressive models : a comparison of priors
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús; Feldkircher, Martin; Huber, Florian - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359435
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Comparing the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with time series models to forecast inflation
Rumler, Fabio; Valderrama, María Teresa - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003776275
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Large vector autoregressions with asymmetric priors
Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2015 - This draft: November 2015
We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389735
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Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage
Gefang, Deborah; Koop, Gary; Poon, Aubrey - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115020
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Predicting returns and dividend growth : the role of non-Gaussian innovations
Kiss, Tamás; Mazur, Stepan; Nguyen, Hoang - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605024
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FRED-SD: a real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications
Bokun, Kathryn O.; Jackson, Laura; Kliesen, Kevin L.; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308190
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A common model approach to macroeconomics : using panel data reduce sampling error
Gavin, William T. (contributor);  … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001986936
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Systemic sovereign risk : macroeconomic implications in the Euro Area
Bahaj, Saleem A. - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359485
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Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian VARs
Carriero, Andrea; Kapetanios, George; Marcellino, … - 2010
information contained in a large panel of yields. In particular, we use a large Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) with an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003990415