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classical criteria, as well as forecast combination techniques with constant and non-constant weights. With respect to the … standard GARCH specification, the non-linear models generally lead to better forecasts in terms of both smaller forecast errors … and lower biases. In-sample forecast combination regressions are better than those from single Mincer …
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When do financial markets help in predicting economic activity? With incomplete markets, the link between financial and real economy is state-dependent and financial indicators may turn out to be useful particularly in forecasting "tail" macroeconomic events. We examine this conjecture by...
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In 2005-2006 China reformed its stock market by eliminating non-tradable shares. The regulator set general guidelines …
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This paper presents a general overview of the European Private Equity (PE) market based on industry activity for 2009 published by the European Venture Capital Association (EVCA) in March 2010 and the latest performance data published by Thomson Reuters as of December 2009. The paper is...
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