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volatility and Student-t disturbances outperforms restricted alternatives that feature either attributes. The VAR model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339759
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This paper extends the Bayesian proxy SVAR model (BP-SVAR) of Caldara and Herbst (2019) to examine changes in the transmission of structural shocks in the presence of regime shifts in an economy. I provide a Metropolis-within-Gibbs sampling algorithm to approximate the posterior distribution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160515
develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its … shock has remained fairly stable. Simulations from a non-linear DSGE model suggest that these empirical results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
In this paper we extend the Bayesian Proxy VAR to incorporate time variation in the parameters. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is provided to approximate the posterior distributions of the model's parameters. Using the proposed algorithm, we estimate the time-varying effects of taxation shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933414
volatility to estimate the changing spillover of global oil shocks into the Maltese economy during the period that goes from … international to domestic energy prices decreases from 1% to virtually zero in response to a shock rising real oil prices by 10 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380679
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structural shock that we label expectational shock. This shock plays a crucial role when describing the series of events that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013254444
We assess the bivariate relation between money growth and inflation in the euro area and the United States using hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models. Model selection based on marginal likelihoods suggests that the relation is statistically unstable across time in both regions. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252440
We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389735